All posts by Doran

ROCKFORD, Ill. – The nation’s top housing market in 2024 might come as a surprise to some: Rockford, Illinois.

According to the Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com’s Housing Market Ranking, Rockford has secured the coveted No. 1 spot.

The city’s ascent to the top ranking is attributed to its abundance of affordable housing options and its burgeoning industries in healthcare, aerospace, and logistics. Additionally, its central location, within reasonable distance of major urban centers like Chicago, Milwaukee, and Madison, adds to its allure. A forthcoming direct train line from Rockford to Chicago is expected to further enhance its accessibility.

Rockford’s remarkable growth has led to a surge in median home prices, with the average home listing in March reaching $235,000—an increase of nearly 52% compared to the previous year, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. In contrast, the national median listing price stands at $424,900.

Moreover, Rockford stands out favorably against other Midwestern cities due to its lower susceptibility to natural disasters, offering a potential reprieve for homebuyers increasingly concerned about high insurance costs associated with wildfires, floods, and hurricanes.

Social life in Rockford revolves around the scenic Rock River, dividing the city between east and west and serving as the focal point for a vibrant arts and culture scene. The city also boasts an impressive 7,000 acres of parkland and public gardens.

In terms of job opportunities, Rockford’s manufacturing sector alone employs over 20,000 individuals, underscoring its robust business environment.

The top 10 housing markets in 2024, as per the Wall Street Journal and Realtor.com rankings, include:

1. Rockford, Illinois
2. Canton-Massillon, Ohio
3. Ann Arbor, Michigan
4. Akron, Ohio
5. Springfield, Missouri
6. Fort Wayne, Indiana
7. Manchester-Nashua, New Hampshire
8. Columbus, Ohio
9. Kingsport-Bristol-Bristol, Tenn.-Va.
10. Portland-South Portland, Maine

The rankings take into account various economic and lifestyle factors, including housing supply, housing demand, property taxes, unemployment rates, and proximity to retail and restaurant establishments. Additionally, they consider the risk of extreme weather events such as heatwaves, windstorms, poor air quality, floods, and wildfires over the next three decades.

For the full list and report, click HERE.

Distress reared its head in Texas last year, and foreclosures are skyrocketing.

In March, commercial foreclosures in the state increased by 129 percent year-over-year and 31 percent from the previous month, Bisnow reported, citing property data company Attom Data Solutions. California, New York and Florida were the only states with more foreclosures last month.

Commercial foreclosures in Texas totaled 55 last month, following 42 in February and 56 in January. Nationwide, there were 625 in March, up 117 percent year-over-year and 6 percent month-over-month. 

There’s been a gradual uptick in commercial foreclosures since spring 2020, when pandemic-related moratoriums and financial aid safeguarded property owners. But with these measures now largely unavailable, landlords are facing a harsh reality.

Foreclosures and other signs of distress have been especially apparent in the office sector, which continues to get hammered by the remote-work movement that’s driving up vacancies and available sublease space to historic highs. Foreclosures are on the rise across all asset classes, though. 

 Office vacancies in Texas’ major metros were among the highest in the nation to start the year, according to the report. Notable foreclosure cases this year involve the iconic Oil & Gas Building in downtown Fort Worth, the Scanlan Building in downtown Houston and the office building at 211 North Ervay Street in downtown Dallas.

Multifamily foreclosures have been most evident in Houston and San Antonio markets, with syndicators Applesway Investment Group and GVA being on the wrong side of numerous cases. 

Top Five Reasons to Invest in Texas

Diverse and Desirable Locations

Texas is a treasure trove of diverse locations that attract both tourists and residents. From its stunning coastline to its rich cultural experiences and natural parks, Texas offers a wide range of options for investment in vacation rentals. Moreover, with the state experiencing significant population growth, it presents an excellent opportunity for long-term rental and fix and flip investments. When considering investment locations, it’s crucial to evaluate what makes an area attractive and sustainable in terms of tourism, job opportunities, and overall desirability.

Thriving Economy and Job Market

Texas consistently ranks high in terms of economic growth, boasting a strong employment and income forecast for the foreseeable future. The state is home to a plethora of major companies, including over 100 of the largest public and private companies in the U.S. These factors contribute to a stable and appreciating real estate market. It’s worth keeping a close eye on established businesses and new enterprises moving into the area, as they indicate sustained residential demand and potential investment opportunities.

Continuous Population Growth

Population growth is a crucial factor for real estate investors as it signifies a robust demand for housing. As the second most populated state in the U.S., Texas projects continued growth in the future. By analyzing population growth data at the city or county level, investors can identify areas with the highest potential for investment and capitalize on the growing demand for housing.

Robust Rental Market and Attractive Rental Rates

Texas offers a thriving rental market with a wide range of rental rates across different locations, counties, and neighborhoods. Conducting thorough research on rental rates specific to your target area is crucial for maximizing profitability. Data from Zillow shows a significant 5.8% increase in the median rent in Texas over the past year, with rental rates projected to continue rising according to the Dallas Fed report. 

Supportive Legal and Regulatory Environment

Texas provides a landlord-friendly legal and regulatory environment, offering protections for property owners and favorable landlord-tenant laws. This ensures that investors have the necessary legal framework and support to manage their properties efficiently and protect their investment interests.

Investing in the real estate market in Texas offers a vast amount of exciting opportunities, particularly in select cities that shine as prime options. When considering real estate investment in Texas, it’s essential to take into account various factors that contribute to the overall appeal and potential profitability of each city. In this section, we will delve into some of the top cities in Texas for real estate investment.

In the dynamic landscape of real estate investment, the build-to-rent (BTR) sector is emerging as a robust and resilient opportunity for investors. The BTR boom is fueled by a shifting demographic landscape, changing work patterns, and evolving housing preferences. As we look ahead to 2024, the opportunities in BTR real estate are poised for continued growth and adaptation to the demands of the market.

Meeting the Changing Needs of Home Seekers

The surge in BTR housing demand can be attributed to a diverse range of demographics, including young families, remote workers, and empty nesters. These groups seek the benefits of homeownership but face barriers in the traditional real estate market. With high occupancy rates and steady rent growth, the BTR sector is an increasingly attractive investment avenue.

Blending Work and Home Life

With homes serving as workplaces, there is an increasing demand for multifamily communities that offer spare bedrooms and shared workspaces. BTR properties can capitalize on this trend by providing spaces and amenities that seamlessly blend work and home life. Communities located farther from major job centers may experience growing demand as renters prioritize flexible work arrangements over daily commutes.

The build-to-rent sector presents lucrative opportunities for real estate investors in 2024 and beyond. By staying attuned to market trends, focusing on property versatility, and embracing the changing needs of renters, investors can position themselves for success in this evolving landscape. As the real estate market continues to transform, BTR stands out as a resilient and forward-looking investment choice.

Versatility in Exit Strategies

One of the key advantages of investing in BTR properties is the flexibility in exit options. Investors can choose between renting or selling to individual home buyers, depending on market conditions and investment goals. This exit optionality provides a strategic advantage and enhances the overall resilience of BTR investments.

Remote Work’s Impact on Housing Preferences

The remote work trend, prompted and accelerated by the pandemic, continues to influence housing preferences. Hybrid work arrangements are becoming more prevalent, with 28 percent of all workdays still being conducted from home. This shift creates new opportunities for BTR operators to cater to the needs of high-earning and highly mobile renters.

Rental as a Practical Housing Option

As paths to homeownership become increasingly elusive for many Americans, renting is gaining traction as a more practical housing option. Even those who can afford to buy may find that renting aligns better with their financial goals. This shift in mindset is likely to continue, bolstering the demand for well-designed and amenity-rich BTR communities.

Navigating Affordability Challenges

Affordability remains a significant challenge in the real estate market, affecting both potential buyers and long-term renters. High home prices and spiking mortgage rates have kept many families in the rental market. BTR properties become an attractive option for those seeking a single-family home lifestyle, but are unable to afford a home in the current market, fostering continued rental demand.

1. Attic insulation upgrade

Winter is the ideal season to enhance your home’s energy efficiency by upgrading attic insulation. This project helps regulate indoor temperatures, keeping your home warmer and reducing heating costs. While costs may vary, investing in high-quality insulation can typically range from $1,500 to $2,500. The long-term benefits include lower energy bills and the potential for increased property value.

2. Landscaping enhancements

Winter is an opportune time to plan and implement landscaping improvements. While the garden may be dormant, adding features like walkways, outdoor lighting, or even planting evergreen shrubs can boost curb appeal. Costs vary widely based on the scope of the project, but a well-executed landscaping upgrade can make your home stand out, come spring time. 

3. Smart thermostat installation

Upgrade your home’s heating system by installing a smart thermostat. This winter home improvement project, which usually costs between $200 and $300, allows you to control your home’s temperature remotely, leading to energy savings and increased comfort. Winter installation is convenient, with fewer demands on HVAC professionals and the added benefit of immediate energy efficiency improvements.

4. Kitchen cabinet refinishing

Give your kitchen a facelift without breaking the bank by refinishing your cabinets. This cost-effective winter project can be completed for under $500. Refinishing cabinets is a quick and efficient way to modernize the heart of your home, even if you have a tight budget.

5. Basement waterproofing

Protect your home from winter’s harsh elements by investing in basement waterproofing. This essential improvement can prevent water damage, mold growth, and structural issues. While costs may range from $2,000 to $6,000, the long-term benefits often outweigh the initial investment. Winter is a great time to start this project as it tackles potential vulnerabilities ahead of spring rains, ensuring a dry and secure basement.

6. Ceiling fan installation

Improve both aesthetics and energy performance by installing ceiling fans in key rooms. This affordable winter project helps distribute warm air more effectively in the winter and cool air in the summer. The energy savings, combined with the visual appeal of stylish ceiling fans, make this an easy and cost-effective improvement.

7. Window replacement

Upgrade your home’s energy performance by replacing old or drafty windows. New windows not only improve insulation but also enhance natural light, aesthetics, and soundproofing. The energy savings and improved comfort make this project a wise choice for homeowners struggling with expensive electric bills. 

8. Bathroom fixture upgrade

Revitalize your bathroom by upgrading fixtures such as faucets, shower heads, and lighting. This relatively low-cost project, usually ranging from $500 to $1,500, can instantly modernize the space and improve functionality. Upgraded fixtures not only enhance your daily routine but also contribute to a more appealing and comfortable home.

9. Flooring refinishing

Give your home a fresh look by refinishing the flooring in high-traffic areas. Whether you have hardwood, laminate, or tile floors, this project can cost between $1,000 and $3,000, depending on the materials. Refinishing not only restores the beauty of your floors but also adds durability, making it an investment that can pay off in terms of aesthetics and functionality.

10. Smart lighting system installation

Enhance your home’s functionality and energy performance by installing a smart lighting system. This winter home improvement project, which can cost between $500 and $2,000 depending on the complexity, allows you to control lighting remotely. Additionally, the convenience and energy savings make this a modern and attractive feature for many homeowners.

11. Crawl space encapsulation

Crawl space encapsulation stands out as a key project to safeguard your home in the colder months. The process involves sealing the crawl space beneath your home to create a barrier against moisture, pests, and potential issues that could compromise your home’s structural integrity. Winter proves to be an opportune time for crawl space encapsulation, primarily because the drier air allows for efficient installation and curing of materials. By addressing this project during the colder months, you can fortify your home against the impending challenges of spring rains and thawing snow.

12. Fireplace upgrade

Make your living space more cozy and appealing by upgrading your fireplace. This can involve refacing the fireplace, adding a new mantel, or converting to a more efficient gas or electric model. A stylish and functional fireplace can be a focal point in your home, adding both aesthetic value and charm. 

The most relevant commercial real estate lending basics offer far more than the chance to develop key professional relationships and avoid tenancy issues that often coincide with residential rental properties; it offers lucrative income potential that can dwarf more traditional forms of real estate investing. However, as any commercial real estate investors will tell you, the trick isn’t always finding a commercial property, but rather acquiring one of those ever-essential commercial real estate loans that let you bring a property into your portfolio.

While many lending principles apply equally to both residential and commercial real estate loans, there are some key distinctions (and tricks-of-the-trade) about the commercial real estate loan process that can save you time and money, if understood before plunging ahead.

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LENDING BASICS

Commercial property loans, not unlike their single-family counterparts, are the foundation of a great real estate investment. The loans are just as important as the assets themselves—if not more so. At the very least, there are many types of commercial real estate loans which award savvy investors with unique advantages for their particular situations. That said, it’s not enough for investors to simply take the first loan that comes across their table; they need to mind due diligence and get to know the ins-and-outs of commercial real estate loans before making any decisions. The more an investor knows about their own CRE loan and how it applies to their situation, the better.

Individuals Vs. Entities

It is commonplace for residential loans to be made to individuals. However, commercial real estate loans are usually made to entities. Otherwise known as business entities, entities can represent a number of business: corporations, developers, limited partnerships, funds or trusts. It is common for entities like these to receive commercial real estate loans. If for nothing else, receiving a commercial real estate loan may even be why the entity was created in the first place.

Unlike a residential loan where money is given to borrowers based on things like their credit score, en entity won’t have a credit rating. Instead, the entity will have the owners guarantee the loan. That way, the owners of the entity will provide the credit history. In the event of a default, the owners will also give the lender an idea of who they need to recover from. 

For more information on not only how to get a commercial real estate loan, but also today’s commercial real estate lending basics, here are some answers to today’s most common questions on the subject.

WHAT IS A COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOAN?

A commercial real estate loan, or “CRE loan” as it sometimes called, is a debt-based agreement set up between a borrower and financial institution in which the borrower uses funds to acquire commercial (non-residential) property.

One common misconception is to assume the terms “commercial loan” and “commercial real estate loan” are interchangeable. This is not the case. Commercial loans refer to the securing of funds that can be used for non-real estate purposes, such as equipment purchases or operating expenses. As an investor, your aim is a commercial real estate loan; it’s important when navigating the loan process to look for lending institutions that specialize in loans of this kind.

Types Of Commercial Real Estate Loans

Not unlike their single-family counterparts, commercial real estate loans can be found with countless terms and underwritings. The sheer volume of available commercial real estate loans is to help buyers acquire deals with favorable terms and rates. There is practically a loan for every situation a commercial real estate investor could think of. Let’s take a look at some of today’s most popular commercial real estate loans:

• SBA 7(a) Loan For Commercial Real Estate: As their names suggest, SBA 7(a) loans are backed by the U.S. Small Business Administration. While there are several types of SBA loans, this particular one is specifically tailored to those who want to purchase or refinance owner-occupied commercial properties up to $5,000,000.
• CDC / SBA 504 Loan For Commercial Real Estate: Also backed by the U.S. Small Business Administration, CDC / SBA 504 loans are best suited for those who need more than the $5,000,000 offered by SBA 7(a) loans.
• Traditional Commercial Mortgage: Traditional commercial mortgages are offered through institutionalized banks and lenders. Traditional loans tend to range from five to 20 years, but are great for those with good credit and in need go longer loans.
• Commercial Bridge Loan: Commercial bridge loans help investors secure immediate financing, giving them a chance to search for a more long-term solution in the interim. Bridge loans help investors bridge the gape between when they need immediate funding and when they can find a more permanent solution.
• Commercial Hard Money Loan: Commercial hard money loans are reserved for those with a need for short-term loans. They tend to come with higher interest rates, but the price comes with a benefit. Since hard money lenders aren’t associated with an institutionalized bank, borrowers can receive the money fast, and without a perfect credit score.

HOW LONG ARE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOANS?

Commercial real estate loans can be as long as 30 years or as short as a few months. But generally they’ll have a term, on average, of between 5-30 years.

This doesn’t mean, however, that you necessarily will be paying a monthly commercial mortgage for the full term of the loan. Unlike residential loans, which are fully amortized—or have the balance of the loan broken up in regular, monthly payments—commercial real estate loans often have a set monthly payment period (usually the first five to seven years), and then require a large balloon payment at the end.

This can be either a benefit, or catastrophe, for commercial real estate investors. It’s vital you mind your due diligence to ensure the terms of a commercial real estate loan fit in with your overall real estate investing needs.

CRE Loan Repayment Schedule

The repayment schedule of a commercial real estate loan can last anywhere from five years to 20 years. There are, of course, exceptions, but that seems to be the industry standard. It is worth noting, however, that the amortization period is traditionally longer than the loan itself. Not unlike a residential loan, a commercial real estate loan’s rate can change depending on the length and amortization of it. Investors with a good credit standing may have ore negotiating power than those without.

WHAT ARE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOAN REQUIREMENTS

There are universal criteria that come into play when approaching a lender about a loan, no matter what type. But when applying for a commercial real estate loan, it’s vital you focus on these key CRE loan requirements:

• Credit History: This has less to do with your credit score, which should be at least 680 or higher, and more to do with ensuring your credit history doesn’t contain recent tax liens, foreclosures, and recent bankruptcies. Otherwise you might find the commercial real estate loan process quite difficult.
• A Low Loan-To-Value (LTV) Ratio: LTV ratio calculates the amount of equity, or collateral, a borrower has in a given property by dividing the loan amount by the appraised value (or purchase price) of a property. (Example: If your loan amount is $97,000 and the property is worth $100,00, your LTV is 97%.) Home buyers securing a residential loan can have an LTV as high as 100%, though usually somewhere in the 80-97% range is more common. Investors seeking a commercial real estate loan will most likely have to sit somewhere in the 65-80% range, at a minimum.
• Business Entity: This is a common mistake many first-time commercial real estate investors make when applying for a loan. But having your business entity set up, before filling out that application, can sometimes make a huge difference to lending institutions.
• Organized Paperwork: This is another overlooked area of the loan application process for many first-time commercial investors. But making sure that every document (and packet) you send to a lender is organized, tidy and doesn’t set off “alarm bells” can sometimes make the difference between getting rejected, and that large commercial real estate loan you need to make your investing dreams come true.
• Online Marketplace Loan: Otherwise known as a “soft money” loan, an online marketplace loan will match borrowers with private investors who help finance commercial properties for a return. These loans will come with an interest rate between conventional banks and hard money lenders, which people often call a “soft” loan. These loans are traditionally short for commercial real estate, as they can last from six months to a few years.
• Joint Venture Loan: In the event a single entity isn’t able to secure a loan by itself, it can join forces with another entity. By seeking a joint venture loan, the loan will be given out based on two entities instead of one, effectively making them partners, but also making it easier for entities who would otherwise not qualify.

Do CRE Loans Have Fixed Or Variable Interest Rates?

This depends on the type of commercial real estate loan you secure. (There are numerous kinds of CRE loans, including a traditional commercial mortgage, bridge loan, hard money loan, and joint venture loan, etc.)

As a general rule, a commercial real estate loan will most likely have a variable rate — that large amount of money borrowed comes at a cost — and be considerably higher than residential real estate loans (sometimes as much as two-three percentage points).

CAN YOU GET A COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOAN WITH NO MONEY DOWN?

It is entirely possible to get a commercial real estate loan without putting any money down. However, it is important to note that the less an entity puts down, the harder it will be to qualify. That said, a down payment is not necessary; there are a number fo different financing methods to use instead.

For example, if an entity can’t come up with the money, they can perhaps partner with another entity and form a joint venture. In that case, the other entity could front the money. Another way to get away without putting any of your own money down is to get a bridge loan. Bridge loans can help investors secure short-term funding for a down payment so that they may negotiate a longer-term loan through a more traditional lender. 

HOW LONG WILL IT TAKE TO GET A COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOAN?

As the commercial loan brokerage Whista detailed in a column recently: “Everyone is going to tell you it should take about 30-45 days to get a commercial loan. Not in this lifetime…if your broker or lender is being honest with you, they will tell you to expect about 45-120 days.”

This doesn’t mean there won’t be exceptions; there may very likely be situations in which you’re able to reduce this commercial loan process considerably. But if your investing strategy depends on a quick timeline, go in knowing you may need to be flexible until you hear back from a lending institution.

HOW TO CALCULATE COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE LOANS

No calculation can be made until a number of metrics are already in hand. That said, to calculate a commercial real estate loan, an entity will need to obtain the possible loan amount, interest rate, amortization term, and any balloon payments if applicable. With all of the numbers in hand, simply visit an online mortgage calculator and fill in the blank fields. 

HOW TO CALCULATE LOAN-TO-VALUE RATIO

As the name suggests, a loan-to-value ratio gives entities a way to measure the value of a loan against the value of a property. In order to calculate the loan-to-value ratio, or simply LTV, divide the amount of the loan by the property’s appraised value or its purchase price, whichever is lower. 

SUMMARY

Learning today’s commercial real estate lending basics isn’t as hard as many would assume, but they do require far more diligence, preparation, patience, and paperwork then a residential mortgage loan; that’s because of the large amount of funds being requested. It is a good to remember that commercial real estate financing is more complicated and logistically challenging; they have to be due to the increased risk. There are many moving parts—both legal and financial. However, if you’re able to stay persistent and focused through the process, you might find a life-changing transaction just around the corner.

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Key Takeaways

• Understanding how to finance commercial real estate is one of the first steps for investors looking to break out of the residential industry.
• With a firm grasp on the commercial real estate financing basics, investors should have a slid commercial foundation to build off of.
• Commercial real estate loans are a bit more complex than residential loans, but they are necessary for larger projects further down investors’ careers.

Successful house flipping requires careful planning, hard work, and a thorough understanding of the real estate market. In this blog post, we’ll guide you through the essential steps to flip a house the right way, ensuring you maximize your chances of a profitable outcome.

Step 1: Research Your Market

Before you dive into the world of house flipping, it’s crucial to research your local real estate market. Understanding current trends, property values, and neighborhoods with potential for growth is essential. Look for areas where homes are in demand and likely to appreciate in value. Conduct thorough market research to identify your target audience and what they’re looking for in a home.

Step 2: Set a Realistic Budget

One of the most common mistakes in house flipping is underestimating costs. Create a detailed budget that includes the purchase price, renovation expenses, holding costs (property taxes, utilities, insurance), and selling costs (agent commissions, closing costs). Be sure to leave room for unexpected expenses, as they often arise in the renovation process. A realistic budget is key to avoiding financial setbacks.

Step 3: Secure Financing

Unless you have significant personal funds, you’ll need to secure financing for your house flipping project. Options include traditional mortgages, hard money loans, private investors, or partnerships. Choose the financing option that aligns with your budget and timeline. Be prepared to present a solid business plan to potential lenders or investors.

Step 4: Find the Right Property

Locating the right property is a critical step in the house flipping process. Look for homes with good bones, in desirable neighborhoods, and with the potential for value appreciation. Pay attention to the property’s condition and the extent of renovations needed. It’s often better to start with a cosmetic fixer-upper for your first flip, as major structural issues can be costly and complex.

Step 5: Renovate Wisely

Effective renovation is the heart of successful house flipping. Create a renovation plan that balances cost-effectiveness with aesthetics and functionality. Focus on kitchen and bathroom updates, fresh paint, flooring, and curb appeal. Be sure to obtain the necessary permits and hire reputable contractors. Keep a close eye on the renovation process to ensure it stays on schedule and within budget.

Step 6: Market Strategically

Once the renovations are complete, it’s time to market the property effectively. Work with a real estate agent who has experience in selling flipped properties. Invest in professional photography and staging to make the home look its best. Price the property competitively to attract potential buyers while still ensuring a profit.

Step 7: Sell at the Right Time

Timing is crucial in house flipping. Pay attention to the market cycle in your area and aim to sell when demand is high. A well-timed sale can maximize your profit potential.

Step 8: Learn and Adapt

Even if your first flip isn’t as profitable as you hoped, it’s essential to learn from the experience. Evaluate what went well and what could be improved. House flipping is a learning process, and each project provides valuable insights for future success.

Flipping a house can be a rewarding and profitable venture when done correctly. It’s essential to approach it with careful planning, realistic expectations, and a willingness to adapt and learn. By conducting thorough research, setting a budget, securing financing, choosing the right property, renovating wisely, marketing effectively, and timing your sale strategically, you can flip a house the right way and set yourself up for success in the world of real estate investment. Muevo is your partner in achieving success in the world of house flipping. Contact us today to learn how our expertise and resources can help you navigate the challenges and opportunities of house flipping, ensuring that you flip houses the right way and achieve your financial goals. Your success is our priority, and together, we can turn your house flipping dreams into a profitable reality.

So, you’re tossing around the idea of packing up your bags and moving to Florida.

If you’re thinking about moving to the home of Disney World, the Daytona 500 and a 200-foot alligator named Swampy (yep, that’s a real thing), you’re probably wondering about the Florida housing market. Well, you’re in luck! We dug into the latest news on the housing market in Florida to give you a heads-up on what to expect in the Sunshine State.

Now, the best way to learn about Florida’s market is to talk to a real estate agent who actually lives in Florida (you can find one through our RamseyTrusted program), but these numbers and predictions will give you a good idea of what to look out for.

Ready to dive in? Let’s go!

What’s the Florida Housing Market Like?

Just like pretty much everywhere else in the U.S., housing prices in Florida went up in 2023—though not by a whole lot.

Here’s a look at Florida’s numbers from Q4 2023 compared to Q4 2022:

Florida Housing Market*	October 2023	October 2022	Percent Change
Median Sale Price**	$410,000	$401,990	+2.0%
Inventory (Active Listings)	74,703	68,813	+8.6%
Closed Sales	19,729	20,837	-5.3%
Median Time to Sale***	71 days	70 days	+1.4%1
Average Mortgage Rate(15-Year Fixed)	7.03%	6.36%	+10%2

_{*Numbers in this chart represent data on single-family homes only.**Median Sale Price refers to the midpoint—half the homes were sold for more, half for less.***Median Time to Sale is the number of days between the listing and closing of a home sale—half of homes selling this quarter took more time to sell, half took less.}

Florida Housing Market in Major Cities

Sometimes, looking at an entire state’s housing situation doesn’t paint a complete picture of what it’s like in individual cities. So, here’s a look at some housing market numbers in three of Florida’s biggest cities: Orlando, Tampa and Jacksonville.

	Orlando	Tampa	Jacksonville
Median Listing Price	$447,450	$425,000	$412,000
Year Over Year % Change	+0.02%	+0.02%	+0.04%3

How Does Florida Compare to the National Housing Market?

Now, let’s see how Florida’s real estate market compares to the U.S. as a whole. At the national level, the median home listing price in November 2023 was $420,000. Florida’s median listing price during the same timeframe was a bit more expensive at $462,623—9.66% higher than the typical national price.

Still, Florida’s housing prices are more affordable than what you’d find in 19 other states—including Vermont, Nevada, Arizona and New Jersey.⁴

Florida Housing Market Predictions for 2024

We’ve looked at the numbers, so let’s shift into seeing what some real estate gurus are predicting about Florida housing heading into 2024.

1. Buyers and sellers will wait patiently.

Homeownership has gotten a lot more expensive over the last few years, with prices going through the roof back in 2021 and interest rates hitting 20-year highs throughout 2023. What will that mean for potential Florida buyers and sellers in 2024? Florida REALTORS® chief economist Brad O’Connor believes a waiting game is on the horizon.

“Inventory is increasing, which has helped slow price growth,” O’Connor said. “Many buyers and sellers are on the fence now, waiting to see what happens to mortgage rates.”⁵

That sounds about right. After all, the sky-high interest rates we’re seeing right now are keeping a lot of folks from being able to afford buying a home, and many would-be sellers don’t want to move if it means losing a low-interest mortgage they locked in before rates went through the roof.

Find expert agents to help you buy your home.

So, the best move for plenty of people heading into 2024 is sitting on their hands—at least until we get a clearer picture of what interest rates will do moving forward. Speaking of interest rates . . .

2. Interest rates should start going down.

So, what should you expect from mortgage interest rates in 2024? Most likely, rates will finally stop climbing and start dropping. That’s what National Association of REALTORS® (NAR) chief economist Lawrence Yun is predicting.

“I believe we’ve already reached the peak in terms of interest rates,” Yun said. “The question is when are rates going to come down?”⁶

While Yun is right that it’s hard to know exactly when rates will begin decreasing in 2024, virtually everyone agrees that they will at some point. How much will rates go down? NAR’s economic outlook from October 2023 predicts that the typical interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will drop from 7.5% at the beginning of the year to 6.3% by December.⁷

A drop of just over 1% wouldn’t be a game changer, but it would make buying a home a bit more affordable for Floridians by the end of 2024.

3. Inventory will still need a boost.

When supply is low and demand is high in the housing market, prices go up. That’s why they increased so drastically a few years back, and it’s why those high prices have held steady ever since. Even though inventory has steadily gone up since 2021—both in Florida and across the country—it hasn’t grown fast enough to keep up with increasing demand.

Will that trend continue in 2024? Almost definitely. Take it from Ken H. Johnson, an associate dean at Florida Atlantic University’s College of Business. He believes that South Florida could really use 200,000 new housing units per year, but the numbers say the area is currently only getting a tenth of that.

“We are having trouble building homes fast enough,” Johnson said.⁸

Even though Florida’s housing inventory is increasing, it’s not happening fast enough to have a major impact on price or to keep up with the state’s crazy population influx. After all, Johnson also predicts that all nine of Florida’s largest metro areas will see a population growth of 10% or more over the next 10 years—with Orlando and southwest Florida potentially growing at twice that rate.⁹

Moral of the story: Just like every other state, Florida could use a lot more homes on the market in 2024.

Will the Housing Market Crash in Florida?

If you’re concerned about a housing crash in Florida or anywhere else in the U.S. in 2024, you can take a deep breath. That’s because home prices aren’t going to drop substantially in 2024. In fact, prices are actually more likely to go up.

For example, NAR predicts that existing home prices across the U.S. will grow by 2.6% in 2024.¹⁰ Freddie Mac expects a 0.8% bump during the same timeframe.¹¹

So, if you’re waiting on home prices to come down drastically before you buy, you’re going to be waiting for a while—it’s not happening anytime soon.

Is It a Good Time to Buy or Sell a House in Florida in 2024?

Alright, we’ve looked at a whole lot of stats, trends and predictions for the Florida real estate market. As we wrap up, you probably have one important question on your mind: Should I buy or sell in Florida this year? Let’s talk about it.

Here’s the deal: You shouldn’t let the housing market control your decision on whether to buy or sell right now. It’s important to understand real estate trends so you have some context, but you should base your decision on your individual situation.

For example, if you’re buying a house, you need to make sure you’re financially prepared. That means being debt-free with a full emergency fund worth 3–6 months of your typical expenses, and having enough cash saved up to make a down payment of at least 5–10%. (By the way, a 20% down payment is best because it means you won’t have to pay for private mortgage insurance.)

And if you’re selling a house, you need to make sure you can afford the move and that doing so won’t hurt your financial situation. It also wouldn’t be a bad idea to line up a new place to live—though you never want to buy a new house before selling your old one.

Bottom line: You are in control of whether it’s a good time to buy or sell a house in Florida—not the market.

https://www.ramseysolutions.com/real-estate/florida-housing-market

The financial world is buzzing with anticipation following the Federal Reserve’s recent choice to keep interest rates steady. While market analysts largely predicted this move, the unexpected twist came from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who hinted at a possible three-rate drop in 2024. This surprising announcement has ignited curiosity and raised questions about its potential impact on real estate portfolios, particularly for investors seeking to navigate the evolving landscape.

Understanding the Fed’s Decision

At its year-end meeting, the Fed chose to halt interest rate hikes, keeping short-term rates within the 5.25% to 5.5% range. Powell’s assurance of scaling back on rate increases indicates a shift in monetary policy heading into 2024.

Predictions suggest a more relaxed atmosphere for mortgage rates, offering potential relief for aspiring homeowners and investors with Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) portfolios. The positive outlook is supported by housing economists, pointing towards a favorable period ahead.

Optimistic Trends

Powell’s traditionally hawkish stance has taken a surprising turn, signaling a potential end to the rate hike cycle. This shift has implications across investments, causing yields on 5-year and 10-year Treasuries to contract. For investors monitoring DSCR loan pricing, these changes align with future rate trajectories that could enhance investment opportunities.

Real estate investors eager to refinance may encounter challenges due to tight inventory, affecting affordability. Despite these hurdles, a buoyant selling season is anticipated, especially for flippers, who could benefit from reduced refinance rates on investment properties.

Taking a skeptical view, Powell’s dovish turn raises questions about potential political motivations, especially considering the upcoming 2024 election. Active investors should consider this factor when speculating on medium-term market conditions.

Investor Sentiment

Positive sentiments fueled by Powell’s reassuring foresight may prompt previously hesitant investors to enter the market. Temporary dips in transaction volumes are attributed to elevated rates rather than distress, aided by the liquidity from COVID-era stimulus funds.

While a modest 25 basis points dip occurred, predicting a return to pre-pandemic interest rates of 3-5% seems unlikely. Investors should prepare for a new normal of higher interest rates and adjust their strategies accordingly.

Refinancing Opportunities for DSCR Portfolios

For investors with DSCR portfolios, the present is an opportune time to refinance and secure lower rates. The market’s desire for rate reductions could lead to unforeseen developments.

While an immediate surge in real estate sales is not expected, a potential boom may unfold in the next 60 to 90 days. The affordable housing segment is poised for price increases due to limited inventory and high demand, presenting an opportunity for buyers to act quickly.

Exit Strategies and Market Engagement

Pressure on flipper margins underscores the importance of robust risk management. Investors may need to reconsider their exit strategies, shifting from quick flips to potential long-term rentals.

Financial institutions are exercising caution, influencing the pace of re-engagement with the market. Investors should monitor these shifts as they can impact portfolio decisions.

The Bottom Line

Real estate investors must strike a balance between cautious optimism and prudent skepticism considering the recent Fed decisions. While the landscape is evolving, taking informed steps such as monitoring interest rate trends and seizing refinancing opportunities is crucial for securing investments. Armed with knowledge, foresight, and a blend of caution and courage, investors can navigate the changing real estate landscape successfully.

Amid declining property values in a tight lending environment, all-cash buyers will benefit from bargain pricing, CBRE predicts in its latest outlook.

CBRE expects an economic slowdown in the U.S. next year that will impact commercial real estate with bank lending remaining tight throughout 2024, investment volume decreasing 5 percent, cap rates expanding and property values declining.

But the U.S. may be able to avoid a recession and interest rates should be reduced later in the year as activity picks up in the second half of 2024, according to the firm’s 2024 U.S. real estate outlook.

Property types with relatively strong fundamentals, including demand, vacancy and rent growth, like industrial, retail, multifamily and data centers will be most favored by investors in 2024, according to CBRE.

Richard Barkham, CBRE global chief economist & global head of research, said in prepared remarks there is still some more pain ahead for the commercial real estate industry in 2024, including overall investment volumes remaining down for the year. But he expects an upturn by the second half and overall leasing activity to pick up as well. He notes stabilization and the early stages of recovery are also not far off.

North America dry powder by strategy. Chart courtesy of CBRE

With inflation easing, the Federal Reserve is expected to begin reducing short-term interest rates in 2024, possibly to around 4.25 percent by the end of the year and to 3.5 percent in 2025.

There should be buying opportunities in the first half of 2024, especially for all-cash buyers like sovereign wealth funds, pension funds and endowments. CBRE expects the lowest pricing for assets will occur in the first two quarters.

The report notes increasing cap rates, which have risen by about 150 basis points between early 2022 and late 2023 depending on the market and asset type, imply a 20 percent decline in values for most property types. For office, the increase was higher, rising by at least 200 basis points.

“We think cap rates will expand by another 25 to 50 basis points in 2024, with a corresponding 5 percent to 15 percent decrease in values,” the report states.

CBRE expects real estate values for most property types will likely not stabilize before mid-2024.

Historical & forecast cap rates. Chart courtesy of CBRE

Office vacancies to peak

The outlook expects another tough year ahead for the office market with office vacancy peaking at nearly 20 percent in 2024, up from 18.4 in the third quarter of 2023 and 12.1 percent at the end of 2019.

CBRE notes a slowing economy in the first part of 2024 and increasing acceptance of hybrid working arrangements will continue to limit office demand next year. The 2023 U.S. Office Occupier Sentiment Survey found more than half of the respondents planned to further reduce their office space in 2024.

Companies looking to lease less than 20,000 square feet will account for most of the leasing activity, according to CBRE. Leasing activity should rise by 5 percent in 2024, however that is still 20 to 25 percent lower than pre-pandemic levels.

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READ ALSO: How Incentives Boost Office Conversions

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Meanwhile, the flight-to-quality trend should continue with occupiers seeking space in newer, prime office properties with the best amenities. But office construction levels will be at their lowest levels since 2024, which could result in a shortage of that sought-after Class A space later in the year. CBRE forecasts that average prime office asking rent will increase by as much as 3 percent.

On the investment side, the higher-for-longer outlook for interest rates will cause some owners of Class B and C office assets to sell due to further erosion in values. Many of those older buildings that lack modern amenities will continue to struggle to attract tenants, so a higher percentage of older office assets are likely to be converted to other uses. While office conversions can be challenging, the report notes the federal government is providing grants, low-interest loans and tax incentives and local governments are also offering incentives.

Not all office markets are suffering, and the outlook shines a light on several active cities in the U.S. In Nashville, Tenn., where absorption and rents are up, demand for new office space is expected to remain strong. Miami is seeing one of the highest rent increases in the country and the vacancy rate is dropping as new-to-the market tenants are keeping the market healthy. Las Vegas has seen an uptick in leasing activity and strong preleasing at speculative projects, putting the market in a strong position heading into 2024.

Industrial sector slowdown

The industrial sector should see net absorption similar to 2023 levels and rent growth moderating to 8 percent. Construction deliveries are tapering off and expected to continue to slow down due to economic uncertainty, tight lending conditions and oversupply in some markets.

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READ ALSO: Property Management Success: How AI Boosts Industrial

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Vacancy is expected to hit 5 percent by mid-2024, up from 4.2 percent in the third quarter of 2023 but decrease later in the year due to the decline in new construction. Looking ahead, CBRE is forecasting a 7.5 percent increase in U.S. industrial production over the next five years as more occupiers improve their supply chains by adding more import locations and onshoring or nearshoring of manufacturing operations. Markets to watch include Austin and San Antonio in Texas; Nashville; Salt Lake City and Central Florida.

Retail’s declining availability

The retail sector is also facing a lack of new construction. That will contribute to retail availability rates dropping by 20 basis points next year to 4.6 percent. Asking rent growth is expected to drop below 2 percent for most of 2024 but go above 2 percent by the fourth quarter.

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READ ALSO: Mixed Shopping Cart for Retail

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Open-air suburban retail centers will see demand grow faster than other retail formats and neighborhood, community and strip centers will have stable occupancy throughout the year. Look for traditional mall-based retailers to seek other new formats outside the malls for expansion. Texas markets are expected to see more luxury brands. Other markets to watch include Orlando, Fla.; Charlotte, N.C.; Denver; San Francisco and Orange County, Calif.

AI to fuel increased data center demand

The data center market is seeing growth, often driven by advances in cloud-based solutions, artificial intelligence and other new applications and technologies. CBRE notes demand will continue to be higher than supply and construction in major markets will exceed 3,000 MW in 2024, up from the company’s 2023 estimate of 2.500 MW. Markets to watch include Austin; San Antonio and Omaha, Neb.

https://www.commercialsearch.com/news/what-to-expect-for-cre-in-2024/