March 2020 Monthly Housing Market Trends Report: A First Glimpse of COVID-19 Impact on the U.S. Housing Market

  • National inventory declined by 15.7 percent year-over-year, and inventory in large markets decreased by 17.1 percent.
  • The March national median listing price was $320,000, up 3.8 percent year-over-year.
  • Nationally, homes sold in 60 days in March, four days more quickly than last year

Realtor.com®’s March housing data release reveals that the U.S. housing market began to show signs of slowing in the second half of March. The year-over-year decline in inventory softened, the number of newly listed properties declined, and prices decelerated compared to earlier in the month. This is the first data-based glimpse into the impact the COVID-19 pandemic could have on residential real estate as the market enters the spring home-buying season.

The total number of homes available for sale continued to decline in March. Nationally, inventory decreased 15.7 percent year-over-year, a faster rate of decline compared to the 15.3 percent year-over-year drop in February. This amounted to a loss of 191,000 listings compared to March of last year. However, the progression of the weekly data showed the year-over-year decline in home inventory hitting a low and softening, which could be an early indicator of slowing buyer activity in response to COVID-19. The week ending March 28th showed a year-over-year decline of 15.2 percent compared to a larger decline of 16.8 percent in the week ending February 29th, the largest decline in our records since April 2015.

The volume of newly listed properties in March decreased by 6.4 percent since last year. The progression of the weekly data also showed hints of changes to inventory volumes that could be linked to COVID-19. In the week ending on March 28th, the volume of newly listed properties decreased by 34.0 percent year-over-year, the biggest decline this year. The declines in newly listed homes could be indicative of initial seller response to COVID-19 restrictions, with more potential sellers reevaluating or postponing the sale. If continued, this could mark the start of further declines in new inventory in April.

Housing inventory in the 50 largest U.S. metros declined by 17.1 percent year-over-year in March. The metros which saw the biggest declines in inventory were Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, AZ (-42.2 percent); Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI (-36.2 percent); and San Diego-Carlsbad, CA (-33.4%). Only Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI (+3.6 percent) saw inventory increase over the year.

The typical property was still selling more quickly than last year. Nationally, homes sold in 60 days in March, four days more quickly than March of last year. In the 50 largest U.S. metros, the typical home sold more quickly than the national rate, typically spending 47 days on the market. Properties in Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL; Pittsburgh, PA; and St. Louis, MO-IL; spent the most time on the market, selling in 86, 78 and 65 days, respectively. Meanwhile, properties in San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA; Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, CO; and Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV were scooped up most quickly, spending 24, 26 and 29 days on the market, respectively. 

The median U.S. listing price grew by 3.8 percent, to $320,000 in March, which is a slight deceleration compared to last month, when the median listing price grew by 3.9 percent over the year. The progression of the weekly data showed further hints of deceleration that could be linked to COVID-19. In the week ending on March 28th, the median U.S. listing price only grew by 2.5 percent year-over-year, the slowest pace of growth this year and the slowest since realtor.com began tracking in 2013. The slower gains could be indicative of early market response to economic uncertainty and restrictions to industry activity, along with lower buyer and seller sentiment. If continued, this could mark the start of further deceleration in asking price growth in April.

Listing prices in the largest metros grew by an average of 5.7 percent from last year, a deceleration from the 6.5 percent year-over-year gain seen last month. Of the largest 50 metros, 45 still saw year-over-year gains in median listing prices.  Pittsburgh, PA (+17.9 percent); Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD (+14.0 percent); and Memphis, TN-MS-AR (+12.7 percent) posted the highest year-over-year median list price growth in March. The steepest price declines were seen in Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX (-2.7 percent); Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI (-1.4 percent); and Houston-The Woodlands-Sugarland, TX (-1.4 percent). 

In March, 15.4 percent of active listings saw their listing prices reduced. This share shrank slightly, by 1.6 percent, over the past year. Among the nation’s largest markets, only 6 saw an increase in their share of price reductions compared to last year. Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA saw the greatest increase in it’s share of price reductions in March, up 6.4 percent. It was followed by Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, CA (+4.4 percent) and Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, WI (+4.0 percent).

Metros With Largest Inventory Declines 

MetroActive Listing Count YoYMedian Listing PriceMedian Listing Price YoYMedian Days on MarketPrice Reduced Share
Phoenix-Mesa-Scottsdale, Ariz.-42.2%$405,00012.0%4324.6%
Milwaukee-Waukesha-West Allis, Wis.-36.2%$327,5002.0%4414.4%
San Diego-Carlsbad, Calif.-33.4%$749,9509.6%3614.0%
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, Calif.-31.4%$1,230,99412.0%248.1%
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, Pa.-N.J.-Del.-Md.-30.7%$300,00014.0%4916.7%
Cincinnati, Ohio-Ky.-Ind.-30.4%$299,95012.6%4815.3%
Denver-Aurora-Lakewood, Colo.-30.0%$560,0459.4%2615.9%
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, Calif.-27.6%$424,5504.9%5116.7%
Providence-Warwick, R.I.-Mass.-27.2%$399,9508.9%5011.0%
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, Wash.-27.1%$615,0250.7%308.1%
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, N.C.-S.C.-26.7%$350,0003.0%4419.4%
Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, Ore.-Wash.-26.3%$480,0000.3%4124.6%
Kansas City, Mo.-Kan.-24.6%$340,0007.1%6316.4%
Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-Va.-Md.-W. Va.-24.4%$505,0009.0%2913.6%
Nashville-Davidson–Murfreesboro–Franklin, Tenn.-24.2%$378,9884.2%3514.5%
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, Calif.-23.0%$960,045N/A5211.5%
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, Md.-22.7%$328,4954.3%4318.3%
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, Va.-N.C.-22.5%$315,0507.7%4612.0%
Cleveland-Elyria, Ohio-22.2%$202,4503.4%6016.9%
Rochester, N.Y.-22.1%$235,6459.0%3710.4%
Memphis, Tenn.-Miss.-Ark.-21.7%$243,50012.7%6015.8%
Austin-Round Rock, Texas-20.7%$372,0003.3%4416.5%
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla.-20.4%$282,0503.1%5226.2%
Sacramento–Roseville–Arden-Arcade, Calif.-19.8%$507,1596.9%3515.4%
Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, Nev.-19.7%$335,0507.0%3917.4%
Buffalo-Cheektowaga-Niagara Falls, N.Y.-19.2%$202,5502.6%5812.0%
San Francisco-Oakland-Hayward, Calif.-19.0%$960,0006.0%309.2%
Indianapolis-Carmel-Anderson, Ind.-19.0%$280,0002.4%5421.1%
Birmingham-Hoover, Ala.-18.5%$259,9507.3%5714.8%
Boston-Cambridge-Newton, Mass.-N.H.-18.2%$630,0509.6%3211.5%
Oklahoma City, Okla.-17.7%$264,4007.9%4317.6%
Louisville/Jefferson County, Ky.-Ind.-17.4%$272,4950.0%5117.6%
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla.-17.4%$322,8055.4%5620.2%
Columbus, Ohio-17.1%$307,2449.3%4017.4%
Pittsburgh, Pa.-17.0%$215,00017.9%7816.4%
St. Louis, Mo.-Ill.-16.9%$230,0003.4%6515.7%
Hartford-West Hartford-East Hartford, Conn.-16.0%$284,5005.4%5112.2%
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, Ga.-15.4%$328,8401.6%4916.8%
Raleigh, N.C.-14.2%$375,0453.8%5018.8%
Richmond, Va.-13.7%$333,3002.5%4715.1%
Jacksonville, Fla.-13.4%$320,0451.7%5820.7%
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, Fla.-11.9%$407,8022.6%8615.2%
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, Mich-11.3%$239,9501.2%4816.8%
New York-Newark-Jersey City, N.Y.-N.J.-Pa.-10.7%$569,0504.8%5710.7%
New Orleans-Metairie, La.-9.8%$289,0500.9%6116.6%
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, Texas-9.6%$342,545-2.7%4521.8%
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, Ill.-Ind.-Wis.-8.1%$328,5000.7%4317.2%
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, Texas-4.8%$313,045-1.4%5120.7%
San Antonio-New Braunfels, Texas-2.3%$297,495-0.5%5919.0%
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, Minn.-Wis.3.6%$373,520-1.4%3511.9%

*Some data points for Los Angeles have been excluded due to data unavailability. 

SBA EIDL Loan vs. SBA 7(a) Relief Loan

Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL) Existing Program 

  • Click Here To Apply
    Loan Amounts up to $2,000,000
  • 3.75% Interest rate for For-Profit Businesses
  • 2.75% Interest rate for Non-For-Profit Businesses
  • Loan Terms will not exceed 30 Years 
  • Collateral required is only when the loan is over $25,000
  • Credit History: Must be acceptable to SBA and show the ability to repay.
  • Only available in states with SBA approved declarations of disaster.  Check to see if your area is on the list, click here.
  • If you receive the EIDL, you will not be eligible for the SBA 7(a) Relief Loan

*Our sources indicate that there are currently over 25,000 applications submitted so far, with at least 3-weeks  for approvals to be processed. It can be assumed that approval times will only increase as more applicants apply

Get a $10,000 Emergency Advance 

You can get up to a $10,000 grant from the SBA for your small business while you wait for your larger CARES Act Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) Loan or SBA Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL) Follow the below steps:

  • Go to https://covid19relief.sba.gov/#/
  • Fill out the application
  • On the page titled “Additional Information”, make sure to click on “I would like to be considered for an advance of up to $10,000”
  • Complete application

*This grant provides an emergency advance of up to $10,000 to small businesses and private non-profits harmed by COVID-19 within three days of applying for an SBA Economic Injury Disaster Loan (EIDL).  

**If you’ve applied for CARES Act PPP financing with us, your place is safe in our queue. Although your application is on-hold pending SBA guidance, we are working diligently to complete your file for an assignment, underwriting, and funding as soon as possible.

SBA 7(a) Relief Loan (Paycheck Protection Program) New Program – CARES Act 

  • Click Here To Apply
    Loan amounts up to $10,000,000**
  • .5% Interest rate for For-Profit and Non-For-Profit businesses
  • 2 year full payout loan, and payments may be deferred for 6 months
  • Unsecured and no personal guarantee
  • No minimum credit score requirements
  • Eligible for loan forgiveness***
  • Can only be used for payroll support including medical leave, costs related to health benefits, employee salaries, mortgage payments, rent, utilities, insurance, and any other debt payments incurred before 2/15/2020
  • No prepayment penalties
  • SBA guarantee fees and lender fees are waived

*A borrower with a current EIDL loan can only also receive the SBA 7(a) Relief loan if the EIDL loan is unrelated to COVID-19

**The maximum loan amount is the lesser of $10,000,000 or the product obtained by multiplying average total monthly payments for payroll costs during the 1-year period before the loan is made by 2.5. So if the loan was made on April 1, 2020, and average monthly payroll costs for the period April 1, 2019, to April 1, 2020, were $1,500,000, the maximum loan amount would be $3,750,000. Payroll amounts over $100,000 per person, will be excluded from the calculation

***Small businesses that take out these loans can get some or all of their loans forgiven. As long as employers continue paying employees at normal levels during the eight weeks following the origination of the loan, then the amount they spent on payroll costs (excluding costs for any compensation above $100,000 annually), mortgage interest, rent payments and utility payments can be combined and that portion of the loan will be forgiven. Any loan amounts not forgiven at the end of one year are carried forward as an ongoing loan with terms of a max of 10 years at 4% interest. The 100% loan guarantee remains intact.